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It's official: the Hungarian party from Romania (RMDSZ/UDMR) is entering in opposition, the first time in the last 12 years. The reasons: the former opposition social-democratic party PSD refused to let them enter in the coalition they made with the PD-L, social-democratic party too. PD-L was through his representatives, for two years, part of the ruling liberal coalition in power between 2004-2008. (Now I just realize how difficult/almost impossible is to explain in a limited amount of space how the political life Romania changed from a day to another - and even many times a day).
Anyway, what it is sure is that at least for the first year - until the presidential elections to be held in the first half of 2009 - the RMDSZ/UDMR will not be part of the decision making process.
Advantages: trying to reform its leadership, who haven't changed too much in the last 12 years; the far-right nationalist party PRM/The Great Romania Party is out of the political game in the next four years, so they are free to get involved in larger society projects in the Parliament; on the other side, the awaited law of minorities was blocked by the former political allies. They could ally with the National Liberal Party/PNL and speak with a common voice on common problems.
Disadvantages: it could experience a radicalization of the political discourse; the leaders already warned that in Romania it could be expected the same tensed situation as in Slovakia - it's depends a lot about the both parts. What it is said about Slovakia is that when something bad is happening, maybe the Hungarians are accountable for it. The economy is expected to have many downs and few ups, and it is still uncertain how the current coalition will handle all the coming difficulties.
Wise behaviors are hard to predict in Eastern Europe. For example, two days ago you had a designated prime-minister. He started to write down the government plan and to find proper individuals to hold ministerial positions and to give interviews in this quality. Suddenly, he realizes "he can't no more" and gave up. Another guy is coming. Until the final confirmation of the Parliament nothing is sure and even then...So, even harder to know how the opposition will evolve.
Anyway, what it is sure is that at least for the first year - until the presidential elections to be held in the first half of 2009 - the RMDSZ/UDMR will not be part of the decision making process.
Advantages: trying to reform its leadership, who haven't changed too much in the last 12 years; the far-right nationalist party PRM/The Great Romania Party is out of the political game in the next four years, so they are free to get involved in larger society projects in the Parliament; on the other side, the awaited law of minorities was blocked by the former political allies. They could ally with the National Liberal Party/PNL and speak with a common voice on common problems.
Disadvantages: it could experience a radicalization of the political discourse; the leaders already warned that in Romania it could be expected the same tensed situation as in Slovakia - it's depends a lot about the both parts. What it is said about Slovakia is that when something bad is happening, maybe the Hungarians are accountable for it. The economy is expected to have many downs and few ups, and it is still uncertain how the current coalition will handle all the coming difficulties.
Wise behaviors are hard to predict in Eastern Europe. For example, two days ago you had a designated prime-minister. He started to write down the government plan and to find proper individuals to hold ministerial positions and to give interviews in this quality. Suddenly, he realizes "he can't no more" and gave up. Another guy is coming. Until the final confirmation of the Parliament nothing is sure and even then...So, even harder to know how the opposition will evolve.
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